Economic Review – December 2018

Our monthly economic review is intended to provide background to recent developments in investment markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.

Overview

WHAT NEXT IN THE BREXIT SAGA?

With less than three months to the country’s scheduled EU departure, it remains unclear whether the UK will leave with an amicable deal, crash out with no deal or whether the Brexit process will even be completed at all.

BANK CUTS UK GROWTH FORECAST

Bank of England (BoE) officials have reduced their growth forecasts for the UK economy and warned that a lack of clarity over Brexit is hitting economic prospects.

MARKETS

Global equities rose on the last day of December, as progress in resolving the US-China trade dispute prompted investor optimism, in what has been a challenging year for many markets.

PAY GROWTH STRONGEST FOR A DECADE

The latest set of employment statistics shows that the UK labour market remains in a robust state and that the recent recovery in real pay growth is gathering momentum.

INFLATIONARY PRESSURES EASE

The rate of inflation in the UK fell to a 20-month low in November 2018 with policymakers expecting price pressures to ease further during the coming months.