Economic Review – April 2019

Our monthly economic review is intended to provide background to recent developments in investment markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.

Overview

STOCKPILING BOOSTS UK ECONOMY

The UK economy grew more strongly than expected in February as ‘pre-Brexit’ stockpiling provided a boost to the monthly rate of economic growth.

LABOUR MARKET REMAINS ROBUST

The UK labour market continues to confound economists and defy any signs of a Brexit-related slowdown, with the proportion of people in work reaching yet another record level.

MARKETS

As April drew to a close, weaker than expected factory data from China cast a shadow over global growth. Investor sentiment was pacified somewhat by positive euro zone growth and employment data, strong economic data from the US and rising oil prices.

RETAIL SALES IN SURPRISE RISE

The latest retail sales statistics show that a combination of mild weather and rising real wages encouraged UK shoppers to shrug off Brexit woes and spend heavily during March

BREXIT SAGA CONTINUES

Although the Brexit process still appears to be in a state of turmoil, a six-month extension has now been approved which appears to have averted the imminent prospect of the UK leaving the EU without a deal.